Dow Jones Winning: Why China’s Stock Market Surging For First Time in 3 Months is Crucial

For the first time in 3 months, the Chinese stock market has recorded a 3 percent increase triggered by the optimistic prospect of a comprehensive trade deal. The Dow Jones is nearing the 26,000 point mark after initiating a strong rally in the past two weeks.

The solid movement of the CSI 300 Index, which replicates the performance of top 300 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, has shown that investors in Asia highly anticipate the trade talks with the U.S. to see significant progress in the weeks to come.

The CSI 300 Index made robust gains in anticipation of satisfactory trade talks between the US and China. | Source: TradingView

The Dow Jones recorded a 1.3 percent rise on February 17 and is en route to breaking out of the 26,000 point level for the first time since November.

Dow Jones Rally Expected, Analysts Say Trade Deal Fears are Exaggerated

With jobs growth and household balance sheets at record highs, the U.S. is arguably in a better position than China in any given time frame.

The growing number of defaults in China has placed more pressure on the domestic market and the authorities to achieve a deal with the U.S.

A full-scale trade agreement is crucial for both countries in the short-term as it would alleviate significant pressure from the Chinese economy and strengthen the rally of the Dow Jones and the U.S. stock market in general.

The stock market of China and the rest of Asia are recovering in a period during which the outcome of the trade deals remains uncertain.

The Trump administration has publicly expressed its intent to consider a 60-day extension on the March 1 deadline, a move that could destabilize major markets.

However, the Chinese market has rebounded strongly in the last 24 hours, demonstrating the growing confidence of investors in the prospect of the ongoing trade talks.

Baird vice chairman for equities Patric Spencer said that the fear around the result of the trade talks has been overblown. With the newly adopted patient approach by the Federal Reserve, the executive stated that the market is in a decent place to maintain its momentum.

“The market has been worried about the China tariffs but Trump wants a deal and a lot of the fears are generally overblown. The more patient terminology from the Fed has been fairly accommodative for markets so far.”

Recently, as Admisi strategist Marc Ostwald said, investors have begun to focus on the positives over potentially negative factors that could lead the stock market to the downside.

Similarly, Direxion Investments managing director Paul Brigandi said last week that investors in the U.S. market have been trading based on momentum and the strong performance of the Dow Jones.

The Dow Jones Industrial Index has also seen momentum stick since the turn of the year. | Chart via TradingView

As such, if the trade talks with China continue to show progress in certain areas, the near-term rally of the Dow Jones and the rest of the U.S. market could be sustained.

“Momentum is a key component right now. A lot of people are jumping in to get on board,” he said.

Some Difficulties in the Trade Talks

The stalemate in the trade discussions with China seems to derive from the requests of the U.S. on fundamental changes to the structure of the Chinese economy.

The U.S. government has reportedly asked Chinese negotiators implement significant changes in the country’s industrial policies.

Despite the speed bump in the U.S.-China trade talks, the optimism stems from the intent of both countries to move forward with the discussions without imposing additional tariffs or restoring previous tariffs.

Most of the positive movements in the stock market of the U.S. and China are fueled by the certainty of investors that while the trade deal could be pushed beyond the original deadline, the two countries are not in a rush to impose higher tariffs in the short-term.


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Author: Joseph Young 
Image Credit: Source: AP Photo/Richard Drew)

Canaccord Says These 8 Pot Stocks Deserve a Look Thanks to the US Farm Bill

Pot stock analysts believe that the CBD industry is about to explode. The reason? The $867 billion Farm Bill, signed into law by US President Donald Trump on December 20, officially excluded all cannabis products with 0.3% or less THC from the Controlled Substances Act. (THC is the psychoactive element in marijuana that gets users “high.”)

CBD has medicinal uses and is already legal in many states, as is its psychoactive component. As a result, farmers anywhere in the United States can freely grow “hemp” for both industrial and medical purposes.

Several Pot Stocks Set to Explode

Charlotte’s Web is one of eight pot stocks that Canaccord thinks could go higher within the near future. | Source: Shutterstock

Canaccord Genuity, a wealth management firm and investment bank with offices all over the world, believes the effects of CBD legalization will be huge. They rated the following stocks as most promising in a note today:

  • Charlotte’s Web Holdings, Inc. (CWEB-CSE)
  • Canopy Growth Corporation (WEED-TSE)
  • Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. (CURA-CSE)
  • Liberty Health Sciences Inc. (LHS-CSE)
  • 1933 Industries, Inc. (TGIF-CSE)
  • DionyMed Brands, Inc. (DYME-CSE)
  • KushCo. Holdings, Inc. (KSHB-OTC)
  • MJardin Group, Inc. (MJAR-CSE)

Of these, only Charlotte’s Web Holdings was given a firm “buy” rating. The others were categorized as “speculative buys.” The CNBC article on the subject lists the buy targets. In the case of CWEB, that price is $21 Canadian. At press time, CWEB was trading at $19.70, down from its 24-hour high of $20.73. If the advice of Canaccord is to be taken, that means there is still ample room to buy CWEB. However, do note that this article is not intended to be financial advice.

CWEB opened around $10 last August. It has now nearly doubled in value. If Canaccord is correct, it could have a lot of room for growth in the near future as American farmers begin harvest CBD.

The first-quarter report from Canaccord has a message from CEO David Davieu regarding the strategization of the firm going forward. Davieu notes that growth stocks may face a challenging environment in the coming quarters. As a hedge, the firm is moving heavily into cryptocurrency and cannabis companies.

“With signs that the economic backdrop could become more challenging for growth stocks, we anticipate that rising commodity prices will drive increased activities in the natural resource sectors, a historic area of strength for our firm. We also anticipate growing interest in non-traditional sectors where Canaccord Genuity has established a strong market position, such as cannabis and digital assets.”

Canaccord Going Heavy on Cannabis and Cryptocurrency

Canada legalized marijuana nationwide last year. Pot stocks from the United States’ neighbor to the north have been booming as a result. For example, CWEB opened in August 2018 around $10, and has in the meantime almost doubled its per-share price.

Canaccord is continuing their expansion into digital assets despite lingering doubts about a Bitcoin ETF. Their doubts were again confirmed earlier this month when a Bitcoin ETF application was summarily withdrawn.

The note acknowledges that the Food and Drug Administration has yet to get fully on board with CBD legalization, but Canaccord this is a temporary situation.

“While the FDA’s stance has added some initial caution by retailers looking to enter the CBD space, we believe this to be transient, and expect many mass market retailers to begin distributing CBD products over the course of 2019.”

Marijuana legalization has revitalized several economies in the United States, most notably Colorado, which saw a $66 million marijuana tax surplus in fiscal year 2015, the first full year of total legalization. More than 60% of Americans now support legalization of marijuana, paving the way for what may amount to a mandate for elected officials in coming years.


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Author: P.H. Madore 
Image Credit: Featured Image from Shutterstock. CWEB chart from TradingView.com.

Why Vertical Research Thinks Tesla Shares Will Crash Another 70 Percent

It’s less than a week into the new year, but the market has revved into action, with companies feeling the heat on the trading floor. One such company is Tesla whose stock has fallen almost 10 percent.

However, Gordon Johnson, an analyst at Vertical Research Group, believes the automobile manufacturer still has some much darker days ahead in 2019. According to Johnson, Tesla’s stock price at the end of the year will be pegged at $88. If his predictions are right, the company could see its share price tank by 70% over the course of the year.

Speaking in an interview with CNBC’s Trading Nation, Johnson said:

If you take the Q3 numbers and you annualize them, I think Q3 is going to be the high-water mark for Tesla. I don’t think they’re ever going to reach that level of earnings again. If you look at what the stock’s trading at, you’re talking about like you know near a 100 times multiple on those earnings, and the company is clearly not growing at that level.

In Johnson’s analysis, this high-water mark was the company’s performance in Q3 2018, when the company beat delivery estimates for its electric cars and closed with a profit. October turned out to be the best month in over four years for Tesla, as the company posted a profit of more than 27 percent.

Disappointing Results for Q4

Tesla shares have been incredibly volatile over the past year.

However, things didn’t quite go too well for the company in Q4 2018. Following the publication of their results, Tesla’s stock crumbed by 9.7 percent on Wednesday and Thursday, even though the company finished 2018 with record production numbers. That’s because sales were slightly less than what analysts had hoped for. In addition, the company officially announced that they would implement a $2,000 price reduction on their Model X, Model S, and Model 3 vehicles as a means of offsetting the reduction in federal tax credits for electric vehicles. This tax credit, which saved the company $7,500 per vehicle, was cut in half on Jan. 1.

Can the Chinese and European Markets Save Tesla?

While Johnson believes that the demand for Tesla’s electric cars won’t be enough to help ramp up its stock price, investors will be given some glimmer of hope following an announcement that the company will begin delivering its Model 3 cars to China. Tesla stated that customers in China could start making orders and configurations of Performance and Dual Motor all-wheel drive versions of the vehicle from Jan. 4, while also confirming that initial deliveries will begin in March.

The announcement seemed to have helped the company, as its shares were up nearly 6 percent at Friday’s close.

The company also confirmed that European customers could begin configuring and ordering the left-hand drive versions of the Tesla Model 3 from Jan. 4. They claimed that while the people who ordered these vehicles last year will get their cars delivered in February, those who make their orders before the end of the week will get their cars in March.


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Author: Jimmy Aki
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